Early 2017 Fantasy Draft Projections

In preparation for 2017’s Fantasy Football season, I’ve conducted an analysis to judge the ideal fantasy draft order for my league.  The league roster construction rules are as follows:

1 QB

2 RB

3 WR

1 TE

1 FLEX

1 SFLEX (“SuperFlex”, QB/RB/WR/TE/K)

1 D.ST

The draft chart assesses the player’s value relative to it’s position, and this uniform comparison puts players from different positions on a level playing field in terms of “value”.

Projections for the 2017 Season are made by comparing a player’s performance-over-average versus their schedule in 2016 to their expected performance-over-average to their schedule in 2017.

The below chart shows the current Top 12.  To see the entire chart, visit The Draft Value Chart.

Player Team Pos ’16 Yards ’16 TD ’16 INT/ Tch ’16 FPts ’17 Yards ’17 TD ’17 F/G Current Value
1 Rob Gronkowski NWE TE 540 3 38 72 1088 7 18.7 195
2 Aaron Rodgers GNB QB 4797 40 7 384.02 4925 46 25.5 123
3 David Johnson ARI RB 2118 20 413 331.8 2237 19 21.3 122
4 Ezekiel Elliott DAL RB 1994 16 361 295.4 2089 17 20.6 118
5 Le’Veon Bell PIT RB 1884 9 355 242.4 1956 9 20.6 118
6 Jordy Nelson GNB WR 1257 14 152 209.7 1438 18 15.7 115
7 Brandin Cooks NOR WR 1203 8 123 168.3 1622 11 15.1 110
8 Antonio Brown PIT WR 1293 12 157 201.3 1365 15 15.1 110
9 Drew Brees NOR QB 5228 37 15 340.32 5377 41 22.6 109
10 Matt Ryan ATL QB 5061 38 7 347.46 5153 40 22.5 109
11 Mike Evans TAM WR 1321 12 173 204.1 1447 15 14.5 106
12 Tom Brady NWE QB 3618 28 2 256.56 3794 28 21.8 105
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